quantitative assessment

Qualitative vs. Quantitative Risk Assessment – Can There Be a Middle Road?

In my years as both a risk practitioner and ERM consultant, there has and continues to be intense debate around methods for assessing risks. (If you are unfamiliar with the meaning of qualitative and quantitative, this article provides a quick overview.) To illustrate this debate, take the following two comments from a previous article asking…
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Can We Trust the Experts during Risk Assessments?

The nature of being a risk manager requires us to engage extensively with subject-matter experts (SMEs) to understand concepts, processes, and risks. We use this information to understand how the SMEs’ activities fit into the bigger picture of the organization. Without their input, it’s almost impossible to determine the appropriate risk response unless you have…
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future of risk management

Is Quantitative the Only Future of Risk Management?

Quantitative methods for understanding how risk and uncertainty impacts the organization is a subject I’ve been focusing on more this year. Without a doubt, modeling, Monte Carlo simulation, and other advanced math-based methods can be a valuable tool for helping decision-makers in certain companies. Many risk management thought leaders, including some I quote often like…
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Why Do Most Organizations Avoid Quantitative Risk Assessment?

No ERM process that is effective at helping a company understand threats and opportunities to achieving objectives is going to just create a list of risks. While that may be sufficient for a regulator, it means absolutely nothing for helping executives run the organization better. After identification, companies then take the vital step of assessing…
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Using Monte Carlo Simulation to Support Decision-Making

My first interview with Hans Læssøe last month covered a wide-range of topics, including background on what led Hans’ former company to adopt ERM and a few factors key to its success. In this interview, we discuss a topic I’ve touched on briefly in previous articles but haven’t elaborated on much, until now. Monte Carlo…
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